October 2011 – Market Statistics ~ the good news continues

Did you see the article in Inman News, where Hampton Roads was listed the 12th Healthiest housing market in the country?

October’s residential real estate market in Hampton Roads posted another solid month as it shows signs of stabilizing and returning to normal levels. Unfortunately, the number of distressed homes have on the market continues to slow the recovery of the overall market. The good news is that the number of under contract homes increased.

The number of active listings decreased by 16.6% in October 2011compared to October 2010.The inventory of homes for sale dropped by more than 21% in Norfolk and Virginia Beach.In Chesapeake, the inventory declined by 7.2%.

Under contract increased by 29.6% when compared to October 2010. The number of under contract sales is typically an indicator of future settled sales activity over the next month or two as the contracts go to closing. With year-over-year gains this high in magnitude, the real estate market appears poised for solid sales figures as fall ends and winter begins.

Settled sales/closed sales grew by 17% in October 2011 when compared to October 2010. Norfolk saw sales increase by 25% or more for the month when compared to the same time last year. Virginia Beach saw an increase in sales of 7.4% for the month.

Inventory by city:

Virginia Beach -  6.5 months supply of homes on the market    ** A stable market is a 6 mth supply of homes, GREAT news for Virginia Beach

Chesapeake -  7.78 months supply of homes on the market

Norfolk -  8.17 months supply of homes on the market

Portsmouth -  9.46 months supply of homes on the market

Suffolk – 9.71 months supply of homes on the market

** NOTE: All statistics provided are a courtesy of REIN (Real Estate Information Network) **

Handling the Stress of an Unaffordable Mortgage Payment

Whenever I research the latest foreclosure and distressed property statistics, the sheer number of Americans facing the stress of losing their homes amazes me.  It is my goal to help as many homeowners I can either stay in their homes or relieve the burden of their mortgages. Knowing that there are so many that need my help is a driving force for me to continue doing what I do.

In fact, I just released another report that I’ve made available on my website today. It explains the CDPE designation and lists 10 options that homeowners can take advantage of to relieve the stress that comes with owing their mortgage lenders more money than they can afford to pay.

The report also draws a contrast between short sales and foreclosures. Unfortunately, there’s a growing trend of “strategic defaulters” who think it’s smart to let their home go into foreclosure. As any one who follows this blog knows, there is nothing strategic about foreclosure; it’s one of the most long-lasting, negative financial challenges you can go through.

I’m excited about acting as a resource for more homeowners who have questions about what they should do. As always, if you know homeowners who may need my help, have them contact me immediately! Together, we can put them back on the path to financial stability.

Sellers, it’s a price war & a beauty contest

Yep, I’m going to have to rant about this one. Recent sales and cavalier attitudes about seller responsibilities and accountability.

In this buyer’s market, buyers are in the car for days weeding through over priced homes or abandoned and neglected homes. Most of the homes moving in this market are “priced right” and show well, so that cuts out about two thirds of the inventory. Depending on the price point, those homes under $300,000 have recently been receiving multiple offers where the buyers then have to step up their game and come to the table to secure the property they’ve been search for, or they risk the chance of losing the home only to be back on the road searching again.

So, they bid on the home and secure the property. Then comes the fun part, well perhaps there’s a little sarcasm in my tone. The home inspection, the buyer has a home inspection and if they are reasonable in their request, often times sellers are cooperative. When repairs are requested, especially with specialty items or trade related systems,  Buyers Agents (advocates for the buyer), ask that those systems or items be serviced, repaired or replaced by a licensed and insured contractor to ensure the item is properly restored, repaired or replaced. Typically, the seller supplies receipts for such work to their listing agent who in turn supplies the buyer’s agent and buyer with copies to confirm the work was completed properly.

Well, here starts the ranting…. A while back, I walked into a walk through with my buyer client to confirm that the home was in “substantially” the same condition it was when the offer was made, and that the repair items requested were completed in accordance with the contract. We walk in to find it filthy, curtain hardware and blinds laying on the floor in several rooms, MOLD in the refrigerator and as we begin our walk through we realize that the work agreed to as a result of the home inspection has NOT been done, none of it! Of course, we call the listing agent who has no idea, the seller said they did it and I guess the agent never re-visited the house?  Quite frankly, I don’t understand this at all. Long story short, we spend hours at the property waiting for the seller and listing agent to show up, at which point the seller blames the listing agent for not giving them a complete list of repairs and the listing agent says they did. Whatever the case, a little follow up on the listing agent’s behalf would have avoided this situation completely. Thankfully, the seller was more than willing to honor the contract and take care of the issues right away.

Another one, is where the seller client agreed to repairs by a licensed and insured contractor for the particular system issues addressed in the home inspection. Upon arrival at walk through, there are no receipts from contractors and some of the work (per the seller) was not necessary. We insist they honor the contract and have licensed and insured contractors come in to evaluate the items repaired and repair/replace those items in need of repair. Many of the items required repairs and the seller was more than willing to correct. Here is a case where the seller had almost 2 months of lead time to address the repair items but chose not to. In my opinion, this is a clear case of “lack of planning on your part, does not constitute a crisis on mine” (or my buyer client). The worst part of this scenario is that this created a lot of stress for a buyer who fulfilled their obligation to the contract, but is now being punished.

Sellers, first if you mutually agree to make repairs and don’t perform those repairs, you are in breech of the contract. This cavalier attitude that because the buyer got a great buy that you don’t have to honor your word is a dangerous stance legally.  This market really is a painful price war and a beauty contest. Try to remember, that once you sell your home, if you intend to buy, you will expect consideration from the other side so the saying “do unto others…” might be something to think about. Okay, I got it out of my system… Happy selling.

So what is the National Association of Real Estate Specialists Affordability Index?

So what is the National Association of Real Estate Specialists Affordability Index?   This index has been calculated each year for the last 40 years and the current index that was just released is at 192 and is the highest it has been in over 40 years.  What does this means to you and your clients?  For example back in 1981 when interest rates were around 18% the index was at 40.  That means it is over 4X more affordable to buy a home today than it was back in 1981.  Just recently in 2005 when rates were higher than they are today and before prices sky rocketed the index was only at 106.  The affordability index is based on interest rates, median home prices and qualifying median income.

One example for you to share with your clients:  if rates go up just 1% (4.5% to 5.5%) the price of the home would have to decrease by 11% to have the same affordability.  If rates go up by 2% (4.5% to 6.5%) the price of the home would have to decrease by as much as 23%.   No one has a crystal ball to foresee when rate are going to go up, but as you and I know they will not stay this low forever.  I hope this piece of information will help some of those buyers you might have on the fence make their decision.

Update courtesy of  Nevin Bunnell of Monarch Mortgage

Hampton Roads Housing Stats for May 2011

The median settled sales price of homes continued to fall in May 2011 when compared to May 2010. The number of homes that went under contract during May increased, the number of settled sales declined when compared to the same time last year.

Residential settled sales were down 6% when compared to May 2010.

Overall, the region saw a decline in the median residential settled sales price of 10.5%, the second largest monthly decline for the year 2011. decline of the median settled sales price is due to the volume of distressed homes that are selling at discount prices.

The number of homes put under contract during May 2011 increased 9.9% when compared to the same time last year. The Southside experienced large gains in Portsmouth, Suffolk, and Norfolk with increases of 27.3%, 18.75%, and 15.8% . The rise in the number of contracts written in May 2011 points towards positive results in the coming months. The number of homes for sale in the region fell by 6% in May 2011. Virginia Beach saw the largest drop of 13% when compared to May 2010. As the inventory falls, the market should feel the stabilizing effect in prices.

It is considered that a stable housing market should have a six to eight months’ supply of inventory.

Distressed homes (bank owned or short sales), comprised 21.6% of the active listings for sale while they were 31% of the settled sales in May 2011. If the current trends continue, the Hampton Roads region should be poised for an overall stabilization or even slight growth.

Hampton Roads was listed number five out of the seven highest performing major real estate markets, according to Realtor.com.

INVENTORY

Virginia Beach: 7.5 month supply of homes on the market.

Chesapeake: 8.82 month supply of homes on the market.

Norfolk: 10.7 month supply of home son the market.

**NOTE: All statistics provided herein were provided by Real Estate Information Network (REIN)